Russia struggles to shake reliance on foreign technology imports - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
战争

Russia struggles to shake reliance on foreign technology imports

Moscow’s hope of hitting target for independence by 2030 is too optimistic, say analysts
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":11.13,"text":"Russia is struggling to reduce its dependence on critical foreign technologies after western sanctions severed Moscow from global supply chains, according to an internal government tally seen by the FT. "}],[{"start":25.42,"text":"The assessment, compiled by the economy ministry in February last year, lays bare the difficulty of weaning the country off western-made technologies since President Vladimir Putin ordered the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022."}],[{"start":41.510000000000005,"text":"Russia remains critically dependent on imports in areas at the heart of its war effort, including machinery, drone manufacturing and energy production, the document says. Efforts to expand non-energy exports and build the infrastructure needed to sustain production and overseas supply chains have also stalled."}],[{"start":null,"text":"

"}],[{"start":62.410000000000004,"text":"The report argues that a transformation of the Russian economy is imminent, predicting rapid gains in technological independence from foreign suppliers by 2030."}],[{"start":73.46000000000001,"text":"The assessment sets out a six-year plan to meet import substitution targets in critical industries by 2030, when Putin’s current presidential term is due to end. However, experts who reviewed the document said Russia’s projections were wildly optimistic."}],[{"start":90.91000000000001,"text":"“What really jumps out is when you compare the targets for 2030 to the figures for 2024. These are key technologies and industries for the war and for self-sufficiency more generally, and they are enormously dependent on imports,” said Alexandra Prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin. "}],[{"start":113.85000000000001,"text":"Putin complained in December that officials had yet to fully assess Russia’s “technological sovereignty” and set out a path to “technological leadership”."}],[{"start":124.59,"text":"“I understand that technological leadership projects are difficult and unusual, that they require solving a whole host of issues with supplying scientific resources and smoothing out industrial co-operation,” Putin said. “Nonetheless, we need to move faster.”"}],[{"start":142.67000000000002,"text":"Many of the sectors in which Russia is pushing for technological self-sufficiency have been hit hardest by western sanctions."}],[{"start":150.72000000000003,"text":"The Kh-101, one of Russia’s most advanced cruise missiles, can contain more than 50 different foreign-produced parts, including electronics made by US chipmakers including Texas Instruments, Analog Devices and Intel."}],[{"start":166.81000000000003,"text":"Sanctions forced Russia to pivot to China to replace parts it could no longer buy in the west. In 2023, China supplied 90 per cent of Russia’s imported microelectronics, according to a study by the Kyiv School of Economics."}],[{"start":183.35000000000002,"text":"The Russian drone industry relies heavily on Chinese suppliers. In mid-2025, Ukrainian analysis of a new Russian military drone, the Delta, found that its control motors, cameras, antennas, video transmitters, ignition modules, petrol engine, batteries, processors, sensors and controllers were all Chinese-made."}],[{"start":208.90000000000003,"text":"Meanwhile, the civil aviation industry has relied on smuggling networks to obtain parts for western-made aircraft, with the country’s airlines returning mothballed aircraft to service."}],[{"start":221.94000000000003,"text":"Efforts to build a passenger jet without western components have yet to bear fruit. Prototypes of the MC-21, a mid-sized passenger aircraft, began testing in 2025. The aircraft is made by Yakovlev, a subsidiary of Rostec, Russia’s state-owned defence conglomerate, and has had to be redeveloped after the company was cut off from western suppliers in 2022."}],[{"start":248.09000000000003,"text":"The document also envisages that the Russian private and public sectors will more than double their collective research and development spending to 2 per cent of GDP by 2030."}],[{"start":261.78000000000003,"text":"Heli Simola, a senior economist at the Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies, said the proposals are “unrealistic”, given Russia’s heavy dependence on imports."}],[{"start":274.53000000000003,"text":"“For many goals, they already have had to abandon some of the requirements because there are no domestic alternatives,” she said. “In some cases Chinese goods are simply labelled as Russian to achieve the targets.”"}],[{"start":288.82000000000005,"text":"The report forecasts that 80 per cent of companies in key sectors will use Russian software by 2030, up from 46 per cent in 2024. It also projects an increase in non-energy, non-commodity exports by two-thirds over the next years."}],[{"start":307.55000000000007,"text":"“The targets for 2030 look like a fantasy for Putin rather than a realistic plan,” said Prokopenko. “Given that they were still fine tuning their calculations in February last year, the bureaucracy does understand that any growth of domestic production to replace imports will be very limited.” "}],[{"start":336.00000000000006,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1769997465_6552.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

油价涨到每桶100美元,会加速电动汽车转型吗?

随着燃油价格攀升、前景愈发不确定,汽车选购与制造的经济账已难以忽视。

Lex专栏:铸犁为剑——给欧洲工业吹响的战斗号角

在重整军备的推动下,汽车制造商迎来了革新其生产线的又一次机遇。

为何仍应看多黄金?

库珀:尽管这种贵金属在中东战争期间遭到抛售,但其前景仍更为乐观。

试图摆脱对微软依赖的德国联邦州

在各国领导人日益主张欧洲减少对美国科技巨头的依赖之际,追求“数字主权”的努力使得石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因州成为欧洲的一块“试验田”。

FT社评:价格管制重返主流令人不安

价格管制虽然能带来短期纾困,但也会衍生新的问题。与其关注价格管制,各国政府不如把重点放在提高生产率上。

元首关系紧张,美英安全合作出现裂痕

英美围绕伊朗战争出现分歧,正在冲击两国外交人员、官员以及军方人员之间的工作关系。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×